Error (probability bug) in childrens toys missions
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Join Date: Nov 2012
12-12-2012, 08:13 PM
My only point is, that it seems many people in this thread and in general miss understand probability by a large margin. Its what keeps casinos in business though. Yes as a general average most players that are preforming these missions on a regular basis will most likely end up with numbers in and around the started % chances... seeing people with slightly lower and some with slightly higher is normal....
However if you are the unlucky guy that pulls 90% green... it doesn't mean the system is broken. People often seem to forget that in practice each event is independent of all other events. So yes if you pull 90 greens in a row... that is perfectly possible and does not mean the system is broken in anyway.
When the messenger comes to appropriate your profits ... kill the messenger.