The results of crafting 300 powered Alien Artifacts
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Join Date: Nov 2012
03-14-2013, 07:48 AM
Originally Posted by
For 361 tries out of 42 consoles:
The highest dropped console should be at 17-19 times.
The lowest dropped console should be at 1-3 times.
If a console drops 0 times, it is a sign that something was not correct.
If a console drops more than 20 times, it is a sign that something was not correct.
Measures with that, the results from OP look pretty bad. A typical result should look like this:
edit: So I ran 100,000 simulations of "361 out of 42" and not once did a console drop more than 23 times. A console dropping 24 times, or 25 times, ... or even 27 (!!!) times as with OP, is practically impossible. You would need to run millions of simulation to get one simulation where a console drops 27 times.
At first I was on the side of "Everything works correctly, the OP result is just a random outcome", but now i am on the side of "Something is wrong with the data or code"
Your use of correct math to beat hypothetical and incorrect math astonishes and impresses me.