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Starfleet Veteran
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 247
# 21 3 of 10
11-16-2012, 07:26 AM
Here is the 3rd post of 10 results for Childrens toys.

This on is totally odd and it's making me wonder about something..........

Purple, 6
Blue, 2
Green, 2

That's a 60/20/20!

I've personally never seen so many purples in a row.

Very odd.....
Empire Veteran
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 1,116
# 22
11-16-2012, 07:34 AM
Odds aren't a certainty, 24% chance to get something is also a 76% chance you won't get something.
Man is a gaming animal. He must always be trying to get the better in something or other.
Warning, this poster tends to talk nonsensically when caffine levels fall below 80%.
Starfleet Veteran
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 247
# 23 4 of 10
11-18-2012, 08:13 PM
This is 4 of 10.

Results were.............

3 Purple
6 Blue
1 Green.

That's 30/60/10. A little closer to the advertised 24/52/24.

The Product results were.....

4 Tactical
4 Science
2 Engeineering

Next result in 3 or 4 days.
Starfleet Veteran
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 247
# 24 5 of 10
11-22-2012, 02:54 PM
This is 5 of 10.

Purple 3
Blue 5
Green 2

That's 30/50/20 on a 24/52/24 for this run.

The winnings were 4 Tac, 4 Eng, and 2 Sci.

5 more runs to go.
Rihannsu
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 12,100
# 25
11-22-2012, 03:06 PM
Wow, that group was REALLY close to the advertised figures.

I never thought there was an error in the probability, but that pretty much confirms it...
HAIL HYDRA!

-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
I can haz joystick!
MMOs aren't charities. Corporations are supposed to make a profit. It's what they do.
Starfleet Veteran
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 247
# 26
11-23-2012, 12:28 AM
Yes it was. I'm still suspicious of things and will complete ten sets. The total of all ten shoul be very close to 24/52/24. I'm using different duty officer sets with each mission. I don't have a cunning but have around 15 others with efficient or stubborn to chose from.
Starfleet Veteran
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 247
# 27 6 of 10
11-26-2012, 01:02 PM
Here's the 6th run of 10.

4 Purple, 3 Blue, 3 Green. 40/30/30 on a 24/52/24

The equipment was, 5 Tac, 4 Eng, and 1 Sci.
Ensign
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 17
# 28
11-27-2012, 07:13 PM
Every game with any random portion always has lots of threads of people complaining the RNG must be broken because they didn't get the good thing at the statistically likely time. You won't get a purple every four times - you might not get one for twenty, you might get three in a row. The OP had a pretty large sample but it's still well within the realm of possibility he was just a) really unlucky or b) more likely over-remembering the failures. Most of the posts here are well short of anything close to a significant sample to test the RNG on. I've never netted a valuable console (although my rate of purples feels average) and I've never popped a lockbox ship despite many tries but I still feel confident the game isn't out to get me.
Lt. Commander
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 128
# 29
11-28-2012, 11:10 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ungratefuldead88 View Post
Every game with any random portion always has lots of threads of people complaining the RNG must be broken because they didn't get the good thing at the statistically likely time. You won't get a purple every four times - you might not get one for twenty, you might get three in a row. The OP had a pretty large sample but it's still well within the realm of possibility he was just a) really unlucky or b) more likely over-remembering the failures. Most of the posts here are well short of anything close to a significant sample to test the RNG on. I've never netted a valuable console (although my rate of purples feels average) and I've never popped a lockbox ship despite many tries but I still feel confident the game isn't out to get me.
People don't understand odds or randomness.
Starfleet Veteran
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 247
# 30 7 of 10
11-30-2012, 02:58 PM
LOL. In this game, the only way to reliably get something useful if to sell the Powered Artifacts until you have enough EC to buy what you need. That is unless you really like Green TCD Infusers, Stealth Modules and Flow Capaciters. I'm also keeping track of exactly what I recieve, which DOFFs I use and cool down times. There is a deffinate lean to the consoles I mentioned above. When the 10th run is complete I'll work try to work up a list of what I recieved.

Anyhow.

Here is 7 of 10.

0 Purple, 7 Blue, 3 Green

That's 0/70/30 of a 24/52/24 chance.

6 Tac, 1 ENG and 3 Sci.
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