I think there will be plenty. You dont even need them all in the first month either. If a lot turn up in six months or a year thats fine too.
i doubt the masses care about the drama that is been going on in the forums. most wont read it or even realise what the problems are. they may not even see them as problems as they have a fresh perspective.
its true that some players have turned away potential subscribers. more players is only ever going to be a good thing for the game and if people want to shot themselves in the foot by actively turning people away new paying customers rather than trying to encourage them to try it and make up their own mind then so be it. i doubt it will make a massive impact.
I think they are timing F2P launch well. Around a month after TOR's release means that the 'free' month will be coming to a close for people who bought the game then decided they were disappointed in it. Thos people will be looking for other games, and if they spot STO's new F2P system, they could be tempted to come and chack it out, especially if they are looking for another sci-fi MMO to play.
I am expecting quite a few Star Wars fans to go look at TOR and decide that it isn't true to the Star Wars ethos. That is my opinion on the game, and I've not even played it.
GW2 is still touted as 'Coming Soon', so far as I know, and has no official release date.
I think Cryptic is shooting themselves in the foot by continuously shafting their existing playerbase with the new F2P changes.
Many of us have already deterred and turned away a lot of potential subscribers and free players, and will most likely continue to do so if things don't improve.
Unlike the OP I actually believe that there WILL be a lot of new players.
But Cryptic is under the missconception that those new players will come in with their wallets ready no burn the C-store empty, but that wont happen.
The people who are WILLING to play something for that game are already here and get shaftet by cryptic more and more, and more and more of THEM are leaving.
The f2p guys will come in for exactly that reason: Playing for free. They have to be convinced to invest money... either with a good game - wich STO currently IS NOT, and/or incentives to purchase.
But.... getting back to one of my major complains... the new people wont be gold users. The first problem they will run into where they feel the actaul NEED to pay something are respecs, and as soon as they see the price-tag on that lot of them will leave for a better game...
..nobody starts to invest 1600 cp for a ship knowing that the build sucks and that they cant fly any ship efficiently.
And I dont think anybody will start to invest THAT amount of money in a respec.... So with the respec-issue cryptic damages itsself more then anything.
There will certainly be a large influx of new players. DC Universe Online, for example, attracted 1 million new players in one week - 50% of that on PS3, 50% on PC. 120,000 of those new PC players joined within 24 hours of the game going F2P.