Lt. Commander
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 120
# 1 Curious - Race Boxes ???
12-21-2011, 07:46 PM
I'm just curious ... I have 13 Characters I race each day. The event has been going on for about 12 days which means I've run around 157 races.....
On the first day I got a Red box on my first race, then 156 & counting without one. I've seen others writing that they got a Red box on the first day and then nothing .....

I was really hoping the drop rate for Red would be a little better, I'm on a fixed income, and I'm not buying the C-Points in protest anyway, and the only way for me to win a ship is to get boxes from the races, but after 12 days and only 1 Red box I'm starting to think I'm wasting my time .... at least with Champions you get Action Figures and other items and the boxes are all over the place ....

So here is my Question, has anyone gotten any Red boxes from the racing lately?

Thanks!
Lt. Commander
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 120
# 2
12-21-2011, 07:49 PM
13 characters?? I have a hard enough time keeping up with 2! I've ran about 10 races over both toons, I think? And I've had 3 blue boxes and the rest all green.
Lt. Commander
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 120
# 3
12-21-2011, 07:59 PM
someone on the forum was/is running a thread to work out the drop rate on the red boxes from the cstore..it runs at about 0.69-0.72 i think

HOWEVER

The race box isnst always red its usually blue or green(rubbish) so the odds are lower than the cstore variant.

Put it this way i ran 6 toons through 10 days in a row..not a single red box.
Lt. Commander
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 120
# 4
12-21-2011, 08:02 PM
Yep, same for me, 5 toons over the last 10 days or so and no "red" boxes. Only the greens and blues.
Lt. Commander
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 120
# 5
12-21-2011, 08:47 PM
8 toons and the only red box I got was on the first day with the first character I ran the race with since then about a dozen blue and the rest have been green
Lt. Commander
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 120
# 6
12-21-2011, 08:49 PM
Strange, my first box was also a red one, after that i got 60+ times crap.
Lt. Commander
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 120
# 7 emphasis added
12-21-2011, 08:57 PM
I haven't been keeping as close track of the Red Boxes received via the race, but I was closely tracking the drop rate of the Jem'Hadar ship via the Red Box. Tracking the race data was more difficult and I was worried it would fluctuate as people forgot what had happened. Tracking the box openings via the C-Store was relatively easy as most people sit down and grind out 10+ at a time.

At any rate, from the numbers I had collected, the drop rate of Red Boxes from running the race is easily in the neighborhood of 1%. I personally suspect it would be the same as the drop rate of the Jem'Hadar ship from the Red Box. They probably used the same number.

When I have been calculating how may races you would have to run to have a 50/50 shot at getting the ship, I have been using a 1% drop rate, just to be fair.

Using my latest numbers (I haven't had any real reports for about 2 days), it would take 8,582 races to have a 50/50 shot at the ship. The average racer would have to run 12,382 races to get the ship. I suspect these numbers will start going up again if I collect more data.

Good thing they extended the holiday event! Right?
Lt. Commander
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 120
# 8
12-21-2011, 09:20 PM
I've gotten one Red Box. It had a Blue Box in it.

I almost unsubbed right then and there.
Lt. Commander
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 120
# 9
12-21-2011, 09:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mmendel46 View Post
I've gotten one Red Box. It had a Blue Box in it.

I almost unsubbed right then and there.
Yeah, that was exceptionally poor design for the lottery. It's not very motivating. This is especially true if you are running the race dozens or hundreds of times and finally find a Red Box...
Lt. Commander
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 120
# 10
12-21-2011, 09:36 PM
I have about the same amount of characters I've been running through the races. Four blue boxes and no red boxes. The rest green.

It's very discouraging.
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is Off
HTML code is Off


All times are GMT -7. The time now is 02:48 AM.