Quote:
Originally Posted by steamwright
So you're saying that earning and selling 72 keys is more likely to get me a Galor than using them to open lock boxes?

Buying the lockbox ship on the exchange has a guaranteed reward, no amount of opening lockboxes comes with that kind of guarantee.
Tests[1] show that the droprate of lockbox ships is near/below 0.5%. Assuming it's supposed to be 0.5%, 72 keys would give you ~30.3% chance of getting the ship. If you're not that lucky (by definition, most people aren't) here's some more chances:
50% chance to get the ship would need ~138 keys
90% chance to get the ship would need ~459 keys
95% chance to get the ship would need ~598 keys
99% chance to get the ship would need ~919 keys
If you're the 1 out of 10 who has opened ~459 boxes and not gotten the ship, you should at least have enough lobi crystals (and other reward items) to sell on the exchange and then buy the ship there (assuming exchange prices are in similar proportions then as they are now)
If you want only one specific item from a lockbox, just buy it on the exchange. If you have the money/EC to spare, open some boxes and be happy with whatever you receive.
[1] search the Academy subforum for threads with "lockbox loot tables" in the title